Served By the Same Attorney

Here is an interesting side note. Both Keith Ellison (DFL-MN05) and his replacement Rep Ilhan Omar (DFL-60B, Minneapolis) have the same divorce attorney Carla Kjellberg. Guess Michael Avenatti wasn’t available or wouldn’t take the case.  ...

Minnesota: That Was Then This Is Now. (1978 & 2018)

The last time Minnesota had two US Senate seats up for consideration was in 1978. The election widely referred to as the Minnesota Massacre, because of the long-standing victories by the DFL Party candidates for offices up and down the ticket came to a crashing halt....

Calling Balls & Strikes on Campaign Ads

With the World Series just getting underway we thought the metaphor apt because if media outlets truly did call campaign ads correctly, then, ones that fell below a certain level would be called out, or a clarifier would be displayed on each ad run on that particular...

First Paid Political Advertisement Ran Here 21 Years Ago

There were a number of firsts that occurred in the 1998 Governor’s race besides the My Three Sons Primary and the election of third-party candidate Jesse Ventura, In 1997, the Ted Mondale for Governor campaign took out, what is known as the First Paid Political...

Where the Battle Lines Are for DFL House Seats

If someone wants to see the divides in our state it is clearly evident from the State House Legislative District maps from 2016. When you view it, you will see a saturation of the DFL members in the metropolitan area and a spattering of DFL legislators in the Duluth...

Trump and China’s Trade War Over Soybeans

Last week, the Chinese Government Sponsored Newspaper China Daily took out a four-page insert in the Des Moines Register criticizing the Donald J Trump tariffs on commodities, particularly soybeans and attempted to bring the issue directly to Iowa farmers. The Des...

September Campaign Finance Reports 2018

The September Campaign Finance Reports show Gubernatorial candidates Congressman Tim Walz (DFL-MN) and Hennepin County Commissioner Jeff Johnson (R-MN) having comparable amounts of money on-hand moving into the last 6 weeks of the campaign; Walz has $1,051,316.76...

Knoblach Not Seeking Reelection

Rep Jim Knoblach (R-14N St Cloud) announced today he is withdrawing from his candidacy for reelection citing an MPR story in which his daughter Laura alleges an abusive relationship since the age of nine. For the record Checks & Balances is the first media...

Disaggregating Statewide Polls

When viewing all political races in Minnesota we have a Checks & Balances Rule of Thumb, the DFL base is 43% and the Republican base is 37% with 20% Independent/Undecided. In each contest, we analyze we measure each candidacy thus. This means if a candidate falls...

Viewing US Senate Race, the Klobuchar Seat

One of the easiest political predictions is to make this election is to pick US Senator Amy Klobuchar (D-MN) for reelection. As is seen in the MPR News and Star Tribune Minnesota Poll, and lacking a KSTP/Survey USA Poll for comparison, Klobuchar leads Rep Jim...