Reading the Tea Leaves in the MN Governor’s Race

With the release of the Suffolk University/St Cloud Times Poll of likely voters taken 08/17-08/20 the poll aligns with where we believe this race will finish with Congressman Tim Walz (D-MN01) prevailing over Hennepin County Commission Jeff Johnson (R-MN) with a 5-6...

2018 State Fair Polls

Once again, we attended the Great-Minnesota-Get-Together and stopped by the legislative booths in the Education Building. We collected the Annual Polls from the House and Senate. As we have said, this often is an indicator of where the majorities legislative...

Not Surprising New Democratic Millstone is Keith Ellison

It didn’t take Republicans very long, Congressman Keith Ellison (D-MN05) is now being used as a millstone around the necks of Minnesota’s DFL candidates. The Congressional Leadership Fund, a Republican PAC run by House Speaker Paul Ryan (R-WI01) began airing ads...

Ellison Endorsed for Attorney General

Accused abuser Congressman Keith Ellison (DFL-MN05) attended the DFL Central Committee in Cambridge. During his speech, he said, he takes the claims seriously and had to leave right away to catch a plane. There were protesters outside of the building. A delegate...

Analyzing the Primary Results By Congressional District

When you look at the Governor Primary Election results by the eight Congressional Districts a few clear points emerge. On the DFL side, Congressman Tim Walz (D-MN01) carried five Congressional Districts, all in Greater MN, but he was competitive in all. He finished...

Fall-off Down the 2018 Primary Ballot

The first race on the ballot generally sets the highwater mark for votes cast on a ballot. Except for this year, where more DFLers voted for Governor than did for the first line on the ballot US Senator and more Republicans voted for the 2nd US Senate race down the...

Impacts of Different Primary Strategies

Attorney General Lori Swanson (DFL-MN) deployed no visible ground game during this Primary Election. Her efforts were direct mail and media ads. Congressman TIm Walz (D-MN01) and Rep Erin Murphy (DFL-64A, St Paul) applied the whole gamut, in addition to mailing,...

Historic Election Turnout Numbers

The numbers from the most recent multi-candidate DFL Primaries are listed below. It is important to note, these numbers are from somewhat different districts because of 2012 redistricting, but they are valid ballpark figures. We have broken out the Seven Metro...

Questions Ellison Needs to Answer

Since we first published the Huffington Post has run a story. https://www.huffingtonpost.com/entry/keith-ellison-denies-abuse-allegations_us_5b708128e4b0ae32af990d26 During the week we have been asked about a number of allegations of abuse by Congressman Keith Ellison...

Pawlenty and Swanson Train in on Walz

At Farmfest former Governor Tim Pawlenty (R-MN) virtually ignored his Primary opponent Hennepin County Commissioner Jeff Johnson (R-MN) and made most of his critical comments toward Congressman Tim Walz (D-MN01). Similarly, Attorney General Lori Swanson (DFL-MN) began...