Cost of Federal Tax Conformity

Minnesota Report

As we review the information from the Minnesota Budget and Economic Forecast FY 2028-29 specifically, the costs resulting from Federal Tax Conformity regarding elimination of taxes on tips and overtime, impact will be over $600 million.

This would eat up a chunk of the proposed $3.734 billion surplus. This bill SF1488 is being offered by Republican Assistant Minority Leader Senator Karin Housley (R-34, Stillwater) with the House Companion HF1221 being carried by Rep Andrew Myers (R-45A, Excelsior).

Trump’s State of the Union Address 2026

National & Minnesota Report

A week ago, America and the World prepared for a State of the Union Address and in turn they received a larkish, performance from a dancing bear. The Big Orange Orangutan Donald J Trump (R) played to type, spouting a series of economic figures, which can not be proven in any way, shape or form. A rhetorical script which was unmatched in the number of falsehoods and blatant lies spouted.

At its onset, the public address seemed more like an afternoon game show rather than a serious communication from the nation’s Commander-in-Chief, but rather a boorish presentation of look-at-me-mommy moments.

It is traditional for the President to identify people in the gallery, who “he” feels are worth noting. In this case, it played out more like we heard the announcer say, “Come on down, you’re the bext contestant on the new Price is Right!”. As each new person was totted out, they seemed to be used as nothing more than a prop for the Grifter-in-Chief. A two-bit hustler, used car salesman, purposely intended to say anything possible to get us all to buy-in to his con. This Confidence Man, or rather charlatan, Carnival Barker, was call out to the masses to come hear his pitch and buy his magic elixir, which is nothing more than a bile of snake oil.

In each and every instance, when he speaks the tabulation of the lies accumulate, and the speculations on how much this will cost America, and how much it will line his own pocket, or that of his family, how it will benefit the American Oligarchs, and/or the bevy of his cronies.

Sure, it is great to honor, those he selected for the Congressional Medal of Honor Army Chief Warrant Officer 5 Eric Slover and retired Navy Captain Royce Williams, but that is normally an August affair where that is the sole purpose. Also, the commemoration of a soldier fallen in the line-of-duty Army Specialist Sarah Beckstrom and survivor Air Force Staff Sergeant Andrew Wolfe being presented a Purple Heart. Along, with a commemoration of Coast Guard Petty Officer 2nd Class Scott Ruskan who saved over 160 people during an epic Texas flood is worth noting.

The acknowledgment of the US Men’s Olympic Hockey team, which ended a 46 year drought to do so. While many of those present shouted U S A, this had its own patriot moment, but it also begged the question, where was the women’s team? Had they not accomplished the same feat.

All-in-all, after the fact, it feels like it might have been a Grand Illusion. It now, is reminiscent of the movie, Now You See Me. Was this all just pomp and circumstance before Trump sent planes to bomb Iran? Its clear this was a planned attack set for Friday, but held off until the weather cleared on Saturday. So much for the man who claimed on the campaign trail not to enter into any “Forever Wars” or draw America into foreign conflicts. Its just another bait and switch, from the Imperialist seeking to be a Dictator.

Minnesota Budget and Economic Forecast FY 2028-29

Minnesota Report

Friday’s Budget and Economic Forecast for FY 2028-29 provided a small respite from the projected $6 billion projected deficit in 2029. Granted the full adverse impact of ICE’s occupation in Minnesota have not fully been accounted for.

The entirety of the report is available on the MMB website. Our unemployment figure is slightly below the national average, and trending upwards. With the February 2026 Budget and Economic Forecast, the FY 2026-27 biennium is now projected to end with a balance of $3.734 billion, an improvement of $1.269 billion.

The Structural Imbalance is lower, but still projected to show a deficit. State revenue is projected to grow $2.543 billion (1.9 percent annually) in FY 2028-29 over the current biennium, while spending, including discretionary inflation, is expected to be $3.133 billion (2.2 percent annually) higher in the next biennium.

Much of the difference stems from inflation, and this is a factor exasperated by Donald J Trump’s (R) unneeded and unnecessary tariffs. People are showing rising credit card debt which extends past 90 days and is a testament to additionally applied economic stress in meeting the costs of living.

Legislative Session Will Open with a Sober Reminder and Continue Throughout its Duration

Minnesota Report

Throughout the legislative session, members of the Minnesota House of Representatives entering through the front entrance of the legislative chamber will pass the empty first desk on the left adorned with a photo of Speaker Emerita Melissa Hortman (DFL-34B, Brooklyn Park) and a spray of roses, a touch added by House Chief Clerk Patrick Murphy. As nearly all have come to know, she was assassinated on the morning of June 14, 2025 in her home in Brooklyn Park.

This commemoration of a colleague is a powerful statement and reflective of the healing underway in the Minnesota legislature. Each legislator of the 134, but one Rep Greg Davids (R-26B, Prescott), has served without Hortman in the body, and with a historical tied body the odd-year Bonding Session will prove to be rife with challenges.

Simultaneously, the Minnesota Senate will welcome the return of Sen John Hoffman (DFL-34, Champlin) back to the chamber after having survived eight gun shots and his wife Yvette nine. He is still in recovery and physical therapy maintaining his normal jovial nature hoping for full use of his left hand in order to return to drumming.

The impact of that June night will haunt the halls of the State Capitol and be evidenced when each person who now enters will not pass through open doors, but be subjected to a security screening and all of their belongings x-rayed even though those with a Conceal & Carry permit will be allowed to enter with their side arm.

Times have changed and not for the better. After the opening ceremony and speeches end, we expect, the respective bodies will return to their partisan sides and the accusations will commence. In the House, we expect it will be far more shrill since, there only will be a floral arrangement sitting in the back row of the chamber Verses, in the Senate, there is a person who is a survivor, a true embodiment of the pure evil of political violence sitting among the members.

And because the Senate has more rules of decorum than does the House it may seem to be more ordered, but only on the outside.

The Republicans will all sing from the same hymnal of Fraud, DFL incompetence, while the DFL which point out the overreaches of the Federal Government in regards to the Occupation and Insurrection of ICE and the CPB still remaining throughout our state.

This is a tumultuous time, and one where if people are true Minnesotan’s their character will be evident ever single day of those remaining in this legislative session and those forthcoming. Any members whose tone is over the top should be called out not just by the other side but by their own side.

Its time to show the world what it means to be a Minnesotan. Renee Nicole Good and Alex Pretty did, and neither was a Domestic Terrorist.

Minnesota: Situation Largely Unchanged

National & Minnesota Report

Minnesota has been treated as a playground for the full exercise of Executive Power of the President of the United States and the evidence of Donald J Trump’s (R) abuse of power has been has been clearly documented in full view. The video images of the murders of Renee Nicole Good and Alex Pretty along with people having the windows of their vehicles smashed and being dragged out of their cars, whether or not they were illegally in the country are hours long.

We fully believe, Trump sought through the Occupation and Insurrection of ICE and the CPB, he would be able to insight the citizen’s to riot and thus providing him the necessary rationale for instituting the Insurrection Act. This is mentality of a deranged aspiring dictator.

The peaceful protests, which resulted in over-the-top responses of pepper spray, flash-bang grenades, intended to stun and tear gas clouds and marked violence against people recording the proceedings is something seen in other countries not in America. These are tactics used to support an oppressive regime, and we are being oppressed.

The arrival of Tom Homan, the Border Czar, replacing CPB Commander Greg Bovino is not much of a change, accept, it will wean off the numbers of agents slowly. The aggressive efforts on a state with small number of undocumented people sends a sharp signal to other states and is a reflection of an Imperial Presidency out of control. As we said before, this is a Who Song, Won’t Get Fooled Again, and the lyric, “Meet the New Boss. Same as the old Boss, is clear and evident.”

As the legislature commences, we will see the difference between the sycophant Trump supporting legislators on the right and if there are any reasonable Republicans left and the DFLers who are calling for more civil responses such as the removal of masks and actual targeted efforts at locating the true “Worst of the Worst” rather than a 5 year-old in a blue bunny hat with a Spiderman backpack or an elderly man who they didn’t even allow to get fully dressed before the hustled him out in Crocks and a small blanket.

Liam Conejo Ramos

The situation in Minnesota remains the same, and what has happened here in the Land O’ 10,000 Lakes is coming to a community near you. If the US Supreme Court refuses to curtail the power of the Executive Branch then its up the Congress to do so, but it will take a dramatic change in the House and senate to make it happen. The power of the people needs to be fully on display in all fifty states.

Historically, in recent elections, the party out of power on average gains 16 seats in the House. In 2018, during Trump’s first term Democrats gained 40 seats. We expect a similar result in 2026.

The real point of contention will be in the Senate. There are nine incumbents who have declared their retirements. Now, the question is can their party’s hold the seats or will the Trump Effect once again have an adverse impact?

The five Republicans are: Tommy Tuberville R-AL, Joni Ernst (R-IA), Mitch McConnell (R-KY), Thom Tillis (R-NC) and Cynthia Lummis (R-WY). The four Democrats are: Dick Durbin (D-IL), Gary Peters (D-MI, Tina Smith (D-MN, and Jeanne Shaheen (D-NH).

These races are key to deciding the Senate Majority.

State

Incumbent

Party

Status

Notes

Alabama

Tommy Tuberville

(R)

Retiring

Alaska

Dan Sullivan

(R)

Running

Arkansas

Tom Cotton

(R)

Running

Colorado

John Hickenlooper

(D)

Running

Delaware

Chris Coons

(D)

Running

Georgia

Jon Ossoff

(D)

Running

Idaho

Jim Risch

(R)

Running

Illinois

Dick Durbin

(D)

Retiring

Iowa

Joni Ernst

(R)

Retiring

Kansas

Roger Marshall

(R)

Running

Kentucky

Mitch McConnell

(R)

Retiring

Louisiana

Bill Cassidy

(R)

Running

Maine

Susan Collins

(R)

Running

Massachusetts

Ed Markey

(D)

Running

Michigan

Gary Peters

(D)

Retiring

Minnesota

Tina Smith

(D)

Retiring

Mississippi

Cindy Hyde-Smith

(R)

Running

Montana

Steve Daines

(R)

Running

Nebraska

Pete Ricketts

(R)

Running

New Hampshire

Jeanne Shaheen

(D)

Retiring

New Jersey

Cory Booker

(D)

Running

New Mexico

Ben Ray Luján

(D)

Running

North Carolina

Thom Tillis

(R)

Retiring

Oklahoma

Markwayne Mullin

(R)

Running

Oregon

Jeff Merkley

(D)

Running

Rhode Island

Jack Reed

(D)

Running

South Carolina

Lindsey Graham

(R)

Running

South Dakota

Mike Rounds

(R)

Running

Tennessee

Bill Hagerty

(R)

Running

Texas

John Cornyn

(R)

Running

Virginia

Mark Warner

(D)

Running

West Virginia

Shelley Moore Capito

(R)

Running

Wyoming

Cynthia Lummis

(R)

Retiring

Special Elections

Florida

Ashley Moody

(R)

Running

Appointed to the Marco Rubio seat, election to fill the balance of the term.

Ohio

John Husted

(R)

Running

Appointed to the JD Vance seat, election to fill the balance of the term.

January 2025 Campaign Finance Reports for Governor, Other Executive Offices and the State Legislature

Minnesota Report

The election year, along with the open US Senate seat, and the open 2nd Congressional District seat there is an open seat for Governor & Lt Governor, Attorney General, Secretary of State, State Auditor, all state house seats and in this decade all state senate seats. (The state senate seats are inline with the Presidential election every other decade).

Because she entered the race after the start of the year, we will not be able to see any information about the receipts or expenditures for the Amy Klobuchar (D-MN) Campaign until the pre-Primary report in late July. In spite of this reality, we expect she will have no problem fundraising from her nationwide database or even here locally.The more significant question will be how robustly her future opponent on the Republican side will be able to curry favor with supporters pre-Primary, followed by how enthusiastic people will be after the August 4th Primary to dig deep and pony up more money for the General Election.

Because of the crowded field on the GOP side they will need to carve each other up in order to garner attention, elicit financial support, and show performance at every turn. Even though Governor Tim Walz (D-MN) is not seeking relection, he is still in office and when he speaks he can tamp down any criticisms against his administration, through decisive action after-the-fact, which may seem too little too late to many, but is an opportunity to rein in future problems.

This also is an opportunity for the state legislature to bring forward specific oversight and controls prevent future problems. All of this will be in the hands of the Governor in 2027.

Governor

In 2025, as Republicans sought to capaitalize on the blame game politics surrounding fraud and threw chum into the water regularly and bring more attention to the issue, Governor Walz was was slow to declare his election intentions. He seemed flatfooted and caught unaware of the severity of his own PR problems, and in turn the slow bleed of his polling numbers basically declined to what we consider to be the base of the DFL vote, which is 43%.

The one surviving reality is the pure and simple fact, no Republican has won a statewide office since Governor Tim Pawlenty (R-MN) in 2006 and he did so with his second plurality of 46.69%.

With this as the backdrop, we will be writing our future articles based this reality, certain aspirants will come up far short of their goal. To this end, we will present the candidates we measure by actual results as features in our stories. Our criteria will vary depending on the issue. We will identify the factors at he front of what we write. In this article, it will be a measureable factors Straw Poll Results and Finances from their End-of-the Year Reports.

Party-Republican

KENDALL QUALLS (R-MN)

2025 Year-End Report

Beginning Cash

0.00

Total Receipts

604,677.93

Total Expenditures and Disbursements

485,562.25

Ending Cash Balance

119,115.68

Total Debt of Committee

37,000.00

LISA DEMUTH (R-MN)

2025 Year-End Report

Beginning Cash

0.00

Total Receipts

507,458.18

Total Expenditures and Disbursements

61,889.70

Ending Cash Balance

447,281.04

Total Debt of Committee

0.00

MIKE LINDELL (R-MN)

2025 Year-End Report

Amendments
Amendment #1

Beginning Cash

0.00

Total Receipts

352,513.40

Total Expenditures and Disbursements

272,578.03

Ending Cash Balance

79,935.37

Total Debt of Committee

0.00

Attorney General

DFL

KEITH ELLISON (DFL-MN)

2025 Year-End Report

Beginning Cash

45,312.31

Total Receipts

473,491.55

Total Expenditures and Disbursements

244,898.62

Ending Cash Balance

273,905.24

Total Debt of Committee

0.00

DFL Party (MN DFL Central Committee)

Beginning Cash

948,697.73

Total Receipts

5,935,884.61

Total Expenditures and Disbursements

4,756,090.10

Ending Cash Balance

2,128,492.24

Total Debt of Committee

0.00

 

Republican Party of Minn

Beginning Cash

42766.69

Total Receipts

296,601.96

Total Expenditures and Disbursements

300835.54

Ending Cash Balance

38533.11

Total Debt of Committee

0.00

 

DFL House Caucus

Beginning Cash

1,226,555.63

Total Receipts

5,603,032.17

Total Expenditures and Disbursements

3,283,326.70

Ending Cash Balance

3,546,261.10

Total Debt of Committee

0.00

 

DFL Senate Caucus

Beginning Cash

877,422.77

Total Receipts

1,715,109.96

Total Expenditures and Disbursements

606,152.04

Ending Cash Balance

1,987,993.09

Total Debt of Committee

0.00

 

Republican House Caucus (HRCC)

Beginning Cash

704,630.59

Total Receipts

1,846,308.78

Total Expenditures and Disbursements

916,623.50

Ending Cash Balance

1,634,315.87

Total Debt of Committee

0.00

 

Republican Senate Caucus (Senate Victory Fund)

Beginning Cash

1,237,683.59

Total Receipts

630,551.05

Total Expenditures and Disbursements

419,256.33

Ending Cash Balance

1,448,978.31

Total Debt of Committee

0.00

 

2025 End of Year Campaign Finance Reports for MN US Senate, and US Congress Seats

Minnesota Report

Every other even year election in the mid-term (non-Presidential years) evey other decade offers the most candidates for office. This year we have an open  US Senate, the eight Congressional seats

US Senate Campaigns (Open Seat)

Party-Democrat

ANGIE CRAIG (D-MN)

Statement of Candidacy 2025

Date Filed: 04/25/2025

Coverage dates: 04/20/2025 to 12/31/2025

Beginning Cash*

776,495.18

Total Receipts

6,788,377.06

Total Expenditures and Disbursements

3,001,653.36

Ending Cash Balance

3,786,723.70

Total Debt of Committee**

389,289.67

Offsets to Operating Expenditures***

$10,342.47

*  Because Angie Craig is a sitting member of Congress she can transfer the money from her Congressional Campaign into her US Senate Campaign.

** Because of her personal wealth, Angie Craig was able to make a substational personal loan to her US Senate Campaign, and is not restricted from making additional contributions in the future.

*** As a sitting member of Congress Angie Craig flies at taxpayer expense, but her campaign activity requires payment from her campaign.

MARGARET “PEGGY” FLANAGAN (D-MN)

Statement of Organization 2025

Coverage dates: 04/20/2025 to 12/31/2025

Date Filed: 02/14/2025

Beginning Cash

0.00

Total Receipts

3,287,670.06

Total Expenditures and Disbursements

2,477,023.89

Ending Cash Balance

810,646.17

Total Debt of Committee

0.00

Offsets to Operating Expenditures

30,383.98

Party-Democrat

Statement of Candidacy 2025 | Original

Date Filed: 04/01/2025 (April Fools Day)

Coverage dates: 01/01/2025 to 09/30/2025

Recent Filings after the end of the year report deadline.

Party-Republican

MICHELE TAFOYA (R-MN)-Television and radio personality, and a Manhattan Beach, California transplant.

Statement of Organization 2026 | Original, Statement of Organization 2026 | Amendment, Statement of Organization 2026 | Amendment

Date Filed: 01/20/2026

Not financial reports are available since this filing occurred during to the first quarter reporting period.

DAVID HANN (R-MN) former State Senate Republican Minority Leader and Republican Party Chair.

Statement of Organization 2026 | Original, Statement of Organization 2026 | Amendment

Date Filed:12/18/2025

Not financial reports are available since this filing occurred during to the first quarter reporting period.

ADAM SCHWARZE (R-MN)

Statement of Candidacy 2025, Statement of Candidacy 2025 (Amendment)

Coverage dates: 01/01/2025 to 12/31/2025

Date Filed: 09/23/2025

Beginning Cash

0.00

Total Receipts

822,518.59

Total Expenditures and Disbursements

528,789.99

Ending Cash Balance

293,728.60

Total Debt of Committee

0.00

Offsets to Operating Expenditures 0.00

 

ROYCE WHITE (R-MN)

2024 Republian US Senate Candidate

Statement of Candidacy 2023 (Original), Statement of Candidacy 2024 (Amendment), Statement of Candidacy 2024 | Amendment, Statement of Candidacy 2025 | Amendment

Coverage dates: 01/01/2025 to 12/31/2025

Date Filed: 02/12/2025

Beginning Cash

0.00

Total Receipts

822,518.59

Total Expenditures and Disbursements

528,789.99

Ending Cash Balance

293,728.60

Total Debt of Committee

0.00

Offsets to Operating Expenditures 6,304.79

 

TOM WEILER (R-MN)

Statement of Candidacy 2025 | Original

Date Filed: 08/08/2025

Coverage dates: 01/01/2025 to 09/30/2025

Beginning Cash

0.00

Total Receipts

82,239.70

Total Expenditures and Disbursements

26,387.15

Ending Cash Balance

57,613.23

Total Debt of Committee

112,570.00
Offsets to Operating Expenditures 0.00

 

 

US House of Representative Campaigns

Minnesota – House District 01

Party-Democrat

Jacob Johnson (D-MN01)

Statement of Candidacy 2025 | Original

Date Filed: 04/17/2025

Coverage dates: 04/01/2025 to 12/31/2025

Beginning Cash

0.00

Total Receipts

751,106.41

Total Expenditures and Disbursements

447,770.14

Ending Cash Balance

303,336.27

Total Debt of Committee

0.00

Offsets to Operating Expenditures

0.00

Party-Republican

Brad Finstad (R-MN01) (Incumbent)

Statement of Organization 2025 | Amendment

Date Filed: 05/28/2025

Coverage dates: 01/01/2025 to 12/31/2025

Beginning Cash from 2024 Report

61,409.23

Total Receipts

1,031,699.77

Total Expenditures and Disbursements

476,361.08

Ending Cash Balance

616,747.92

Total Debt of Committee

0.00

Offsets to Operating Expenditures

0.00

Party-Independent

Minnesota – House District 02

Party-Democrat

MATT LITTLE (D-MN02)

Statement of Candidacy 2025 | Original

Date Filed: 04/30/2025

Coverage dates: 04/01/2025 to 12/31/2025

Beginning Cash

0.00

Total Receipts

583,843.67

Total Expenditures and Disbursements

192,888.72

Ending Cash Balance

390,954.95

Total Debt of Committee

155,000.00

Offsets to Operating Expenditures

0.00

Party-Democrat
Dr. MATTHEW DAVID KLEIN (D-MN02)

Statement of Candidacy 2025 | Original

Date Filed: 05/06/2025

Coverage dates: 04/01/2025 to 12/31/2025

Beginning Cash

0.00

Total Receipts

565,209.13

Total Expenditures and Disbursements

236,882.50

Ending Cash Balance

328,326.63

Total Debt of Committee

0.00

Offsets to Operating Expenditures

1,182.93

Party-Democrat
KAELA JO BERG (D-MN02)

Statement of Organization 2025 | Original

Date Filed: 10/01/2025

Coverage dates: 04/01/2025 to 12/31/2025

Beginning Cash

0.00

Total Receipts

583,843.67

Total Expenditures and Disbursements

78,954.70

Ending Cash Balance

53162.20

Total Debt of Committee

0.00

Offsets to Operating Expenditures

0.07

 

Party-Republican

TYLER KISTNER (R-MN02)

Statement of Candidacy 2025 | Original

Date Filed: 06/04/2025

Coverage dates: 04/01/2025 to 12/31/2025

Beginning Cash

0.00

Total Receipts

327,941.63

Total Expenditures and Disbursements

317,597.04

Ending Cash Balance

10,344.59

Total Debt of Committee

0.00

Offsets to Operating Expenditures

54.72

Party-Republican

ERIC PRATT (D-MN02)

Date Filed: 07/21/2025

Statement of Candidacy 2025 | Original

Coverage dates: 07/01/2025 to 12/31/2025

Beginning Cash

0.00

Total Receipts

208,663.39

Total Expenditures and Disbursements

66,155.18

Ending Cash Balance

142,508.21

Total Debt of Committee

105,000.00

Offsets to Operating Expenditures

0.00

Minnesota – House District 03
Dr KELLY LOUISE MORRISON (D-MN03) (Incumbent)

Statement of Candidacy 2023 | Original, Statement of Candidacy 2024 | Amendment

Date Filed: 11/21/2024

Coverage dates: 01/01/2025 to 12/31/2025

Beginning Cash from 2024 Report

25,388.55

Total Receipts

777,312.50

Total Expenditures and Disbursements

575,556.95

Ending Cash Balance

227,144.10

Total Debt of Committee

0.00

Offsets to Operating Expenditures

1,135.09

 

Minnesota – House District 04

Party-Democrat

BETTY MCCOLLUM (D-MN05) (Incumbent)

Statement of Candidacy 2000, Statement of Candidacy 2024 | Amendment

Date Filed: 11/07/2024

Coverage dates: 01/01/2025 to 12/31/2025

Beginning Cash from 2024 Report

554,918.77

Total Receipts

208,663.39

Total Expenditures and Disbursements

722,672.68

Ending Cash Balance

628,814.15

Total Debt of Committee

0.00

Offsets to Operating Expenditures

423.30

Party-Democrat

Minnesota – House District 05
ILHAN OMAR (D-MN05) (Incumbent)

Statement of Candidacy 2018 | Original, Statement of Candidacy 2024 | Amendment

Date Filed: 11/21/2024

Coverage dates: 01/01/2025 to 12/31/2025

Beginning Cash from 2024 report

324,220.63

Total Receipts

3,125,782.67

Total Expenditures and Disbursements

2,329,198.78

Ending Cash Balance

1,120,804.52

Total Debt of Committee

0.00

Offsets to Operating Expenditures

7,622.70

Party-Democrat
LATONYA T REEVES (D-MN05)

Statement of Candidacy 2025 | Original

Date Filed: 11/15/2025

Coverage dates: 10/01/2025 to 12/31/2025

Beginning Cash

0.00

Total Receipts

19,056.86

Total Expenditures and Disbursements

18,874.65

Ending Cash Balance

182.21

Total Debt of Committee

0.00

Offsets to Operating Expenditures

0.00

Party-Republican

DALIA AL-AQIDI (R-MN05)

Statement of Candidacy 2025 | Amendment

Date Filed: 02/03/2025

Coverage dates: 10/01/2025 to 12/31/2025

Beginning Cash

0.00

Total Receipts

742,068.51

Total Expenditures and Disbursements

767,645.01

Ending Cash Balance

13,342.38

Total Debt of Committee

0.00

Offsets to Operating Expenditures

3,866.08
Party-Republican

John Nagel (R-MN)

Statement of Candidacy 2025 | Original

Date Filed: 10/27/2025

Coverage dates: 07/01/2025 to 12/31/2025

Beginning Cash

0.00

Total Receipts

64,413.83

Total Expenditures and Disbursements

45,585.40

Ending Cash Balance

18,828.43

Total Debt of Committee

0.00

Offsets to Operating Expenditures

0.00

 

Minnesota – House District 06
THOMAS EARL EMMER JR (R-MN06) (Incumbent)

Statement of Candidacy 2013 Original, Statement of Candidacy 2024 | Amendment

Date Filed:11/12/2024

Coverage dates: 07/01/2025 to 12/31/2025

Beginning Cash from 2024 Report

1,688,451.83

Total Receipts

6,763,926.56

Total Expenditures and Disbursements

3,507,247.18

Ending Cash Balance

4,945,131.21

Total Debt of Committee

0.00

Offsets to Operating Expenditures

4,060.30

Party-Democrat
DOUG CHAPIN (D-MN06)

Statement of Candidacy 2025 | Original, Statement of Candidacy 2025 | Amendment

Date Filed: 07/15/2025

Coverage dates: 07/01/2025 to 12/31/2025

Beginning Cash from 2024 Report

0.00

Total Receipts

130,642.11

Total Expenditures and Disbursements

50,761.59

Ending Cash Balance

79,880.52

Total Debt of Committee

0.00

Offsets to Operating Expenditures

67.15

 

Minnesota – House District 07

Party-Republican

MICHELLE FISCHBACH (R-MN07) (Incumbent)

Statement of Candidacy 2019 | Original, Statement of Candidacy 2024 | Amendment

Date Filed: 11/15/24

Coverage dates: 07/01/2025 to 12/31/2025

Beginning Cash

766,733.92

Total Receipts

2,016,031.04

Total Expenditures and Disbursements

1,615,955.09

Ending Cash Balance

411,080.51

Total Debt of Committee

0.00

Offsets to Operating Expenditures

1,109.92
Party-Democrat
ERIK OSBERG (D-MN07)

Statement of Candidacy 2025 | Original

Date Filed: 03/10/2025

Coverage dates: 01/01/2025 to 12/31/2025

 

Beginning Cash

0.00

Total Receipts

160,412.68

Total Expenditures and Disbursements

73,124.50

Ending Cash Balance

87,288.18

Total Debt of Committee

0.00

Offsets to Operating Expenditures

0.00

Party-Democrat

HEATHER KEELER (D-MN07)

Statement of Candidacy 2025 | Original

Date Filed: 11/13/2025

Coverage dates: 10/01/2025 to 12/31/2025

Beginning Cash

0.00

Total Receipts

18,973.04

Total Expenditures and Disbursements

6,709.60

Ending Cash Balance

12,263.44

Total Debt of Committee

0.00

Offsets to Operating Expenditures

7,622.70

 

Minnesota – House District 08
Party-Republican
PETER ALLEN STAUBER (R-MN08) (Incumbent)

Statement of Candidacy 2017 | Original, Statement of Candidacy 2024 | Amendment

Date Filed: 11/11/2024

Coverage dates: 07/01/2025 to 12/31/2025

Beginning Cash from 2024 Report

528,493.55

Total Receipts

1,154,701.58

Total Expenditures and Disbursements

751,720.06

Ending Cash Balance

931,475.07

Total Debt of Committee

0.00

Offsets to Operating Expenditures

33,894.02

Party-Democrat

CHAD MCKENNA (D-MN08)

Statement of Candidacy 2025 | Original

Date Filed: 07/09/2025

Coverage dates: 07/01/2025 to 12/31/2025

Beginning Cash

0.00

Total Receipts

27,295.00

Total Expenditures and Disbursements

18,221.82

Ending Cash Balance

9,073.18

Total Debt of Committee

0.00

Offsets to Operating Expenditures

0.00

Party-Democrat

CYLE CRAMER (D-MN08)

Statement of Candidacy 2025 | Original, Statement of Candidacy 2025 | Amendment, Statement of Candidacy 2025 | Amendment

Date Filed: 06/13/2025

Coverage dates: 10/01/2025 to 12/31/2025

 

Beginning Cash

0.00

Total Receipts

901.00

Total Expenditures and Disbursements

1,022.65

Ending Cash Balance

2,794.57

Total Debt of Committee

0.00

Offsets to Operating Expenditures

0.00

 

Caucuses Result in Strong Examples of Community Involvement

Minnesota Report

People who have never attended Precinct Caucuses miss out on the feeling of appreciation one can have for the friends and neighbors who weather the cold on a Tuesday Night in February. People come from the warmth of their homes to sit in classrooms, church basements, community centers and town halls to directly interact on important matters of the day.

Our reading from what we have learned from both party’s is a much heavier weight on attendance on the DFL side compared to the Republican. The DFL put out a press release without specific number claiming over 30,000 attendees, while the Republicans were silent on that question.

While we are still waiting for the results, which a large turnout is a petty excuse for why the results of the DFL Governor Straw Poll are still pending. We expect it will show no surprise with the virtual dominance of US Senator Amy Klobuchar (D-MN) over a field of virtue unknowns—except to their immediate families—Bill Gates Jr, Kobey Layne, Christopher Seymore.

Now, we will highlight the reality, The GOP has not won a single state wide race since 2010, but it is interesting to see what their side puts forward, and if the current direction holds the DFL had better be recruiting a major candidate in the Cold Spring area.

Our read on the Republican Governor Straw Poll results, which is the main event of the night show lower GOP turnout 14,105 Republicans participated in the poll.

Now, there may be some stragglers and the results could change slightly, but since the “universe”, a political polling term for the number of participants, is unknown its hard to gauge completely the sentiments of those polled. What is often a result of a poll like this is, it winnows the field of candidates, because financial support dries up unless someone is will is self-fund. Needless to say, here is what we gleaned.

Republican party loyalists are interested in a new face to be what they put forward to Minnesota voters for Governor. The top three candidates, House Speaker Lisa DeMuth (R-13A, Cold Spring), Kendall Qualls (R-MN), and Mike Lindell (R-MN) have never sought statewide office prior. Due to her post as Speaker DeMuth has garnered media attention, as did Qualls during his failed bid for Congress against Dean Phillips (D-MN03) in 2020 and Lindell “The MyPillow Guy” has had an over saturation from infomercials for years and is likely the most well known.

This is not what can be said for past Republican gubernatorial candidates. Their nominee in 2022, former state senator Dr Scott Jensen (R-MN) has lost his luster with the party faithful scoring under 10%, just ahead of Undecided by less than a percentage point, and two time nominee former Hennepin County Commissioner Jeff Johnson (R-MN), even with a quality Scandinavian name only drew support of 0.74%.

Candidate

%

Lisa DeMuth

32.36

Kendall Qualls

25.36

Mike Lindell

17.02

Dr Scott Jensen

6.05

Undecided

5.94

If The Parties Would Stop Mucking (sp) Around With Straw Polls, It Would Be Great

Minnesota Report

Now, on the matter of Straw Polls, these are an opportunity that is often missed by both parties and while we are still waiting for the DFL to announce it’s results of it’s own, but with two significant statewide races with inter-party contests for two open seats US Senate and Governor, why isn’t there a party loyalist poll of the US Senate Candidates? Additionally, with an another open seat in the 2nd Congressional District, due to Congresswoman Angie Craig’s all-in bid for the US Senate, why isn’t there a Straw Poll there as well. This is an opportunity to generate buzz, press and interest in your candidates.

On the GOP side, the recent entrance of Michelle Tafoya (R-MN) could be measured. On the DFL side determining which candidate Lt Governor Peggy Flanagan (DFL-MN) or Angie Craig (DFL-MN) is currying favor with the people who are set to be delegates to the respective State Conventions or are sending said delegates to said conventions.

Now because our publisher has significant experience in party processes, the question over Straw Polls is one he fought for decades ago and prevailed over Chief Deputy Attorney General and future Federal Judge John “Jack” Tunheim in 1994. At that time, in advance of the 6th Congressional District convention Shawn Towle advocated for a Straw Poll for Governor, over the opposition of the Freeman Campaign, of which Tunheim was a co-Chair. Towle argued the significance of a Congressional District which offered a broad cross-section of Minnesotans with an acknowledgment of the importance of the “Suburban Voice” and prevailed. As he said it then, “So goes the sixth, so goes the state,” with the importance being the suburbs should be where most of the attention should be focused in the state, as is evident in our current state politics.

Historical note: The results of the Congressional District 6 Straw Poll directly showed the sentiments of the district at the time with regarding the Governor’s race to challenge either the incumbent Arne Carlson (IR-MN) or former State Representative Allen Quist. The DFL race was between Hennepin County Attorney Mike Freeman (DFL) Senator John Marty (DFL-54, Roseville) and, former Commerce Commissioner Mike Hatch (DFL). In the end the results showed Freeman with 41%, Marty 37% and Hatch in single digits.

Later the endorsement went to Marty, a St Paul suburban legislator, but only after Mike Hatch (DFL) finagled with the MCCL (MN Citizen’s Concerned for Life) and got the anti-Choicers to back Marty because Hatch thought he was the easiest to beat in the DFL Primary.

This resulted in a top of the fold, Metro section front page Pioneer Press story, by Gary Dawson. Which is the reason for a Straw Poll in the first place, to garner media attention of an event and to result in a news story after.

The reason the Freeman Campaign wanted to kill the poll was the Freeman Campaign Manager Sarah Stoesz asked Towle, who was the 6th Congressional District coordinator for Freeman, “What are the results going to be?” Towle said, “It’s tight. Us 39% Marty 37.” She said, “Not good enough, kill the poll.” To which, Towle ignored her instruction, having dedication to his district over the campaign, and having belief in his own mantra, “So goes the sixth, so goes the state.” This is an example of what some have come to call a Towleism.

For the record, the John Marty and Nancy Larson ticket prevailed in the DFL Primary barely, with 37.80% over Mike Hatch and Bob Schmitz 36.40%. Then experienced one of the greatest historical DFL losses with a 34.12% result losing to Arne Carlson with 63.34%.

 

Klobuchar Makes Formal & Expected Announcement for Governor

National & Minnesota Report

It appears Minnesotan’s will be seeing a lot more of US Senator Amy Klobuchar in the coming months since she has made her formal announcement to be a candidate for Governor. She is the DFL’s best proven performer statewide, despite the adverse impact of Donald J Trump (R) and what we call the Trump Effect. In her four mite video announcement she lays out why she is the right person, at the right time, for this position.

https://x.com/i/status/2016843854054641696

In each of her elections every six years, she has outpaced all other candidates in any party and for any office.

Year

%

2006

58.06

2012

65.23

2018

60.31

2024

56.20

 

She enters the race without any adverse impact oln the issue of fraud, which drove Governor Tim Walz (D-MN) from running for an unprecedents third term for office. But if elected the selection of her own successor for the vacated seat could pose a significant challenge to her first decision while in office. We will again remind people about the 1978 Minnesota Massacre, which hinged on the idea of the Governor’s CHoice seeming to be an orchestrated affair..

The expectation among Democrats, DFLers is that Klobuchar will continue her proven track record. Has name recognition far and above any other candidate in the field Democrat, Republican, Freedom/Independence  Party or Independent Candidate. They believe she will continue the trend started after 2014 where no Republican has been elected statewide.

The issue of ICE,and  the Border Patrol will be front and center in this election and the strength of the Governor’s Office to fight these occupation forces and a pushbash against Donald J Trump will be paramount to her showing her strength and the state sovereign rights  we have and how those extend to our citizens.

The shift change from CBP Commander Greg Bovino to Border Czar Tom Homan reminds one of the Who song Won’t Get Fooled Again specifically the line, “Meet the New Boss Same as the Old Boss.”

 

 

 

2018 State Fair Polls

Once again, we attended the Great-Minnesota-Get-Together and stopped by the legislative booths in the Education Building. We collected the Annual Polls from the House and Senate. As we have said, this often is an indicator of where the majorities legislative...

NPR Censors Opposition Comments on RCV

The NPR show 1A ran a program on Ranked Choice Voting today, and Checks & Balances Publisher Shawn Towle sought a spot on the panel. When called back by producer Andi McDaniel he was informed the panel was full but could submit a comment through the voicemail...

2017 House State Fair Poll

Minnesota Report Official Ballot  Minnesota House of Representatives 2017 State Fair Poll Question 1. Should handheld cell phone use be illegal when operating a motor vehicle, except in emergency situations?...

2016 House State Fair Poll

We at Checks & Balances are continuing our tradition of publishing the State Fair Polls found at the State Fair booths in the Education Building. Official Ballot  Minnesota House of Representatives 2016 State Fair Poll Question 1. Do you support an increase in the...

Legislative Return/Special Session 2020

Minnesota Report We are hearing the legislature will likely be recalled for Special Session June 12th, which is just before Governor Tim Walz’ (DFL-MN) last peacetime emergency declaration is set to expire. In order to declare another one, he will need to receive...

read more

Alcohol From Restaurant to You

Minnesota Report  The House and the Senate have agreed to allow alcohol sales to be purchased from restaurants, during the COVID-19 crisis, but only beer and wine. The problem with this is with liquor stores still open the cost will be higher without an added benefit,...

read more

Caution is the Best Medicine

Minnesota Report As Donald J Trump (R) continues to discuss his preparation and planning, combined with his pressure to open up the United States for business again on May 1st, he does so in a potential conflict with the state’s governors. Here in Minnesota, he will...

read more

What to Expect from the Legislature Today?

Minnesota Report The agenda for the legislature is limited and focused on issues surrounding the COVID-19 Virus and there are a number of ways it is adversely affecting our state. A view of the times for consideration by the House Rules and Legislative Administration...

read more

What the House Looks Like During COVID-19

Minnesota Report Watching yesterday’s proceedings of the Minnesota House of Representatives during the passage of extension of Worker’s Compensation Benefits to First-Responders and other personnel who contract COVID-19 in the course of doing their jobs, was an...

read more

Subscribe to Checks and Balances

Checks & Balances is experiencing some dramatic changes. We are creating a more robust site for your viewing pleasure.
 

Subscribe to Checks and Balances

State(s)

Archives