Knoblach Not Seeking Reelection

Rep Jim Knoblach (R-14N St Cloud) announced today he is withdrawing from his candidacy for reelection citing an MPR story in which his daughter Laura alleges an abusive relationship since the age of nine. For the record Checks & Balances is the first media...

Disaggregating Statewide Polls

When viewing all political races in Minnesota we have a Checks & Balances Rule of Thumb, the DFL base is 43% and the Republican base is 37% with 20% Independent/Undecided. In each contest, we analyze we measure each candidacy thus. This means if a candidate falls...

Viewing US Senate Race, the Klobuchar Seat

One of the easiest political predictions is to make this election is to pick US Senator Amy Klobuchar (D-MN) for reelection. As is seen in the MPR News and Star Tribune Minnesota Poll, and lacking a KSTP/Survey USA Poll for comparison, Klobuchar leads Rep Jim...

Observing the US Senate Special Election

The US Senate Special Election will be the second race on the ballot and will receive a great deal of attention. The MPR News and Star Tribune Minnesota Poll also has provided a glimpse into the race between appointed US Senator Tina Smith (D-MN) and State Sen Karin...

Taking a Gander at the Governor’s Race

We will state again as we have before Hennepin County Commissioner Jeff Johnson has run for statewide of twice before and never received greater than 44.51%, we expect a similar result and it may be even lower. The MPR News and Star Tribune Minnesota Poll has the race...

Attorney General and the Big Unasked Questions

We have said time-after-time this election will be largely based on support/opposition to Donald J Trump and this will be most evident in the Attorney General’s race. We are hearing reports from homes of traditional DFLers that women are having problems voting for...