Minnesota Report

We, like every other political person, will be paying close attention to the State Redistricting Panels website, as they release the Congressional and State Legislative Maps today at 12:00 pm. https://www.mncourts.gov/2021redistrictingpanel

The impact will be the what the political landscape will be for the next decade. Many people have speculated, the legislative district maps will increase the number of retirement announcements, and House members running for Senate seats. We will remind readers about our analysis of the in our article The Effect of Redistricting on Reelections of Incumbents

As we have shown, “In the Senate, incumbents average 12.12 retirements in redistricting elections compared to 9.64 in regular elections. In the House, the numbers are double 32 retirements in redistricting years and 16 in regular election years on average. Now, the House figure is skewed because House members frequently run for the Senate, an average of 4.2 members in redistricting elections and 4.9 on average are elected in regular election years.”