Minnesota and National Report
We will be the first to say now, and again, if Republicans are so misguided as to believe Minnesota remains in the same place in 2020 as it was in 2016 it is a bet worth taking. Voter turnout fell by 1.7% from 2012, as did overall Registrations and Election Day Registrations.
We will predict a historic turnout on November 3rd and the motivation on both sides is Donald J Trump (R) except as we have state before, Trump will not gain any more votes in our state than he did in 2016. His total was 1,322,951 or 44.92%, for a 1.52% lost to Hillary Clinton (D), granted there were 8.64% of the votes cast for third-party candidates. We state unequivocally, we will be shocked if he clears 40% this time.
The new Emerson College Poll showing a 3% point race between for Vice-President Joe Biden and Trump is just crap. In regards to the same numbers being associated with the US Senate race of US Senator Tina Smith (D-MN and former Congressman and shock jock Jason Lewis (R-MN02), who is tied to Trump like a parasitic leech is unadulterated BS. A Republican hasn’t won a statewide election in Minnesota since 2006 and it took a plurality of 46.69% for Tim Pawlenty (R-MN) to do so in a reelection bid.
Minnesota is a +5-6-point state electorally for Democrats statewide at a minimum.