National & Minnesota Report
In July, after President Joe Biden (D) announced his decision not to seek reelection, the financial flow gates opened for Vice-President Kamala Harris (D). If fundraising is the first poll in an electoral contest then, she secured $310 million in campaign contributions compared to $137 million for Donald J Trump (R). in a mere 11 days Harris outpaced Trump with $173 million more at a rate of $28.18 million/day and comparatively 6.38 times his pace.
Most of the political reporting is stemming from the most recent information from the Swing State Project, which is a collaboration between The Cook Political Report and two pollsters, BSG and GS Strategy Group. In the aggregate, 2,867 likely voters across the 7 states (Arizona, Georgia, Michigan, Nevada, North Carolina, Pennslyvania, Wisconsin) completed the survey from July 26 – August 2, 2024, for a margin of sampling error of ±1.83 at the 95% confidence level, but there are other corroborating sources. The New York Times and The Hill each have stories from this information and Real Clear Polling has some aggregate polling data.
In the most recent battleground polls we are seeing the following.
USA Today’s Poll Shows the Following.
Arizona
Harris is leading Trump by 4-points, 46%-42% in the Arizona polling. It is worth nothing in May, Trump had led Biden by 5% in Grand Canon State.
Georgia
It appears Harris and Trump are even at 46% in the Georgia polling. In May, Trump had led Biden by 4% points in Peach State.
Michigan
Harris has gained on Trump by 2-points, 46%-44% in the Michigan polling. In May, Trump had led Biden by 3% points in Great Lakes State.
Nevada
Trump leads Harris by 5-points, 47%-42% in the Nevada polling. In May, Trump led Biden by 8% in Silver State.
North Carolina
Harris leads Trump by 2-points, 46%-44% in North Carolina in the polling. In May, Trump led Biden by 8% in Tar Heel State.
Pennsylvania
Harris leads Trump 5-points, 48%-43% in Pennsylvania in the polling. In May, Trump led Biden by 3% in Keystone State.
Wisconsin
Harris leads Trump 5-points, 48%-43% in Wisconsin in the polling. In May, Trump and Biden were tied in the Badger State.